Workshop: Conditionals, Counterfactuals and Causes in Uncertain Environments

Download the conference poster in pdf

Pictures from the workshop

Date: May 19th to May 22nd

Place: Faculty of Philosophy, Building: 23.21, Room: 00.46a

Travel Information: Download in pdf.

Organizers: Gerhard Schurz, Matthias Unterhuber, and Paul Thorn

The workshop focuses on semantic modeling of uncertainty in conditional and counterfactual reasoning. It shall bring together new and fruitful approaches to the logics, philosophy and psychology of indicative, counterfactual and causal conditionals.

Participants include: Horacio Arló-Costa (Pittsburgh), Sarah Beck (Birmingham), Igor Douven (Groningen), Dorothy Edgington (Oxford), Christian Fermüller (Vienna), Angelo Gilio (Rome), James Hawthorne (Oklahoma), Gernot Kleiter (Salzburg) Markus Knauff (Giessen), Hannes Leitgeb (Munich), David Makinson (London), David Over (Durham), Josef Perner (Salzburg), Niki Pfeifer (Munich), Eva Rafetseder (Salzburg), Gerhard Schurz (Duesseldorf), Wolfgang Spohn (Konstanz), Paul Thorn (Duesseldorf), Matthias Unterhuber (Duesseldorf).

Guests are welcome!

Persons interested in attending the workshop should register by email, by contacting Matthias Unterhuber at unterhuberphil.uni-duesseldorfde.

Program:

Click on the title to download slides where available.

Friday, 20th:

• 9.15-10.10 Angelo Gilio (Rome)  'A Coherence-Based Probabilistic Theory of Compounds of Conditionals' 

• 10.20-11.15 Igor Douven (Groningen) 'The Epistemology of Conditionals'

• 11.25-12.20 Niki Pfeifer (Munich) 'Material Conditionals are Usually not Assertable in Uncertain Environments'

• 14.00-14.55 Gernot Kleiter (Salzburg) 'Understanding Conditionals'

• 15.05-16.00 David Over (Durham) 'The Psychology of Indicative Conditionals and Conditional Bets: Further Developments'

• 16.10-17.05 Horacio Arló-Costa (Pittsburgh) 'Indicative Conditionals and Conditional Bets'

• 17.15-18.10 Paul Thorn & Gerhard Schurz (Duesseldorf) 'Logico-Probabilistic Reasoning Systems: Logical Investigation and Simulation Based Analysis' (Slides Schurz, Slides Thorn)

Saturday, 21st:

• 9.15-10.10 James Hawthorne (Oklahoma) 'A Qualitative Logic of Comparative Evidential Support Strength'

• 10.20-11.15 Matthias Unterhuber & Gerhard Schurz (Duesseldorf) 'Why Probabilism and even Bayesianism Needs Objective and Evidential Probabilities: Logic and Psychology' (Slides Schurz, Slides Unterhuber)

• 11.25-12.20 Christian Fermüller (Vienna) 'Vague and Uncertain Entailment - Some Conceptual Clarifications'

• 14.00-14.55 Eva Rafetseder & Josef Perner (Salzburg) 'Counterfactual Conditionals and False Belief' (Slides Rafetseder, Slides Perner)

• 15.05-16.00 Sarah Beck (Birmingham) 'Choices and Regrets in Children's Counterfactual Thinking'

• 16.10-17.05 Dorothy Edgington (Oxford) 'Conditionals, Causation and Decision'

• 17.15-18.10 Hannes Leitgeb (Munich) 'From the Lockean Thesis to Conditionals'

Sunday 22nd:

• 9.15-10.10 David Makinson (London) 'Proto-Probability. A Qualitative Part of Conditional Probability'

• 10.20-11.15 Wolfgang Spohn (Konstanz) 'A Ranking-Theoretic Account of Ceteris Paribus Conditions'

• 11.25-12.20 Markus Knauff (Giessen) 'Human Belief Revision'

• 12.35-13.30 Open Slot

Note: Speakers have 40 minutes to present and another 15 minutes for discussion.

The workshop is organized as part of the ESF LogiCCC program (www.sbg.ac.at/lcpr/) in collaboration with the LogiCCC programs LoMoReVi and CFSC. It is financially supported by the LogiCCC EUROCORES program of the ESF (European Science Foundation) and DFG (German Research Association).